What exciting times in the world of valuation! Now just about every day another
business section or magazine publishes strongly worded opinions in what has
become a pitched battle over “Mark-to-Market.” Even our non-financial friends
are familiar with the term “FAS 157.”
The last few months alone have seen Congress require a study on mark-to-market,
and the FASB and the SEC feeling forced to issue quick statements. On Sept.
30th, the SEC and FASB issued a joint guidance on fair value, confirming (under
pressure from the market in our opinion) that distressed or forced sales are not
indicative of fair value. They conclude that “management estimates” may be more
appropriate (i.e. financial models).
The public battles then accelerated, with counter-fire letters and press
releases:
Oct. 13 In an open letter to the SEC, the American Bankers
Association requests the SEC override US accounting rules on mark-to-market.
Oct. 15 A joint letter to the SEC from the Council of
Institutional Investors, Center for Audit Quality, CFA Institute, and Consumers
Federation of America states that suspension of fair value or mark-to-market
accounting is “decidedly not in the public interest.” And “a move by the SEC to
suspend fair value accounting would be a disservice to the capital markets,
would be inconsistent with the views of investors, and would harm the
credibility and independence of the standards setting process. Investors have a
right to know the current value of an investment.”
Oct. 27 Financial Accounting Foundation (overseer of FASB)
issues letter to the SEC rejecting calls for legislation to overturn statement
157.
Oct. 28 In a Forbes cover story, Steve Forbes says in the
recent crisis “Mark-to-market became the weapon of mass destruction” and
mark-to-market is “accounting madness.”
Oct. 29 At the first SEC Roundtable on Mark-to-Market,
William Isaac, former FDIC chairman, (“the most vociferous opponent” of fair
value per FEI) states, “the FASB and the SEC should immediately withdraw SFAS
157.”
Nov. 4 Stephen Schwarzman, CEO of The Blackstone Group,
opines in a Wall Street Journal OpEd: “we need to abolish mark-to-market
accounting.”
To us, much of this seems to come from not correctly understanding SFAS 157, and
some personal interests coming to the fore. For instance, Issac, speaker at the
first SEC Roundtable, said that true economic value equals discounted cash-flow
analysis — which is a standard fair value model for Level 2 and 3 assets under
FAS 157 — which he fully opposes.
Mr. Isaac repeats his de facto (and contradictory) support for the SFAS 157
modeling of values by also saying: “If SFAS 157 is suspended, bank management,
auditors, and regulators … will consider the cash flows on the assets.”
Similarly, in his 9/19 WSJ OpEd: “Regulators must evaluate the assets on the
basis of their true economic value (a discounted cash-flow analysis).”
FAS 157 is guidance on how to determine fair value, it does not require any fair
values.
NO RELIEF FROM THE SEC
On December 8th, (after the SEC’s second public roundtable) Chairman Cox of
the SEC seems to try and close out the main argument, opining that FAS 157 is
here to stay, stating that “Although the study is not complete, the current
direction indicates a number of preliminary findings that I would like to share
with you ...“
“First, for many financial institutions, investments marked-to-market through
earnings on a quarterly basis represent a minority of their total investment
portfolio.
“Second, most investors, and many others, agree that fair value is a meaningful
and transparent measure of an investment for financial reporting purposes.
Financial reporting is intended to meet the needs of investors.
“Third, accounting standards have served our capital markets well, but we must
endeavor to continue to develop robust best practice guidance for auditors and
preparers — particularly for fair value measurements of securities traded in
inactive or illiquid markets.”
We have seen public auditors now coming to accept the fact that a market price
(say for a company’s stock) is not the only indicator of value for that company.
The challenges of valuation are real, and the battles are not over, but we
believe FAS 157 is here to stay, and that investors and lenders will benefit.
For more information contact your VRC representative or Raymond Weisner at
917-338-5617. VR
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